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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
BMO Field
Charlotte FC

Toronto
1 - 0
Charlotte FC

Insigne (80')
Insigne (26'), Rosted (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vargas (60'), Arfield (82'), Dejaegere (86'), Kahlina (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: New England 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, March 3 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-0 Charlotte FC

 Although we have only seen a sample size of Toronto in 2024, they seem to be a lot more composed off the ball than we saw a year ago, and we believe the home crowd and their experienced attacking players will give them an edge this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toronto in this match.

Result
TorontoDrawCharlotte FC
38.11% (0.457 0.46) 25.87% (0.112 0.11) 36.02% (-0.564 -0.56)
Both teams to score 54.65% (-0.412 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.38% (-0.511 -0.51)49.62% (0.513 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.36% (-0.459 -0.46)71.64% (0.462 0.46)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (0.013000000000005 0.01)25.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)60.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (-0.56500000000001 -0.57)26.66% (0.567 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (-0.754 -0.75)61.9% (0.756 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 38.11%
    Charlotte FC 36.02%
    Draw 25.86%
TorontoDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.196 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.11%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 36.02%

How you voted: Toronto vs Charlotte FC

Toronto
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Charlotte FC
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
3-0
Toronto
Swiderski (8' pen., 45+2' pen.), Dejaegere (56')

Bradley (26'), Mbongue (45+6')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
Charlotte FC
Bernardeschi (6'), Bradley (44')
Bender (51'), Jozwiak (70')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 1.10am
Charlotte FC
0-2
Toronto

Fuchs (10'), Jozwiak (83')
Insigne (49'), Bernardeschi (66')
> Preview
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
4-0
Charlotte FC
Osorio (4'), Bradley (10', 45+2'), Bernardeschi (31')
Kaye (67')

Fuchs (65')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1374222111125
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle135532115620
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000
> Full Version


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