

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Toronto |
| 63.07% ( | 20.45% ( | 16.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.85% ( | 42.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.45% ( | 64.55% ( |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.26% ( | 12.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61% ( | 39% ( |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.23% ( | 38.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.49% ( | 75.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-0 @ 10.48% ( 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 3-0 @ 7.2% ( 3-1 @ 6.82% ( 4-0 @ 3.71% ( 4-1 @ 3.51% ( 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 5-1 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 3.36% Total : 63.06% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.45% | 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 1-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 16.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 25 |
| 3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | DC United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
| 13 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 21 |
| 4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
| 8 | Dallas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
| 9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 16 |
| 10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 | St Louis City | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 3 |
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
