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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 42.63% | 24.98% | 32.39% |
| Both teams to score 56.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.6% | 46.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.32% | 68.69% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% | 21.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.05% | 54.96% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.69% | 27.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.25% | 62.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.45% Total : 42.63% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.72% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.4% |
