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New York City
Major League Soccer
May 25, 2025 at 8pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Chicago Fire

NY City
3 - 1
Chicago Fire

Bakrar (58'), Wolf (70'), Martinez (89' pen.)
Haak (14'), Moralez (28'), Gray (45+3'), Martins (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zinckernagel (19')
Dean (45+1'), Tah D'Avilla (60')
Gutierrez (31'), Tah D'Avilla (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, May 17 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-4 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 1-2 Chicago Fire

Berhalter has Chicago firing on all cylinders, believing they can beat anyone, and their depth could power them to another victory on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 51.75%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawChicago Fire
51.75% (-0.736 -0.74) 21.99% (0.105 0.11) 26.25% (0.627 0.63)
Both teams to score 63.3% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.86% (0.064 0.06)36.14% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.75% (0.074000000000005 0.07)58.25% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.79% (-0.217 -0.22)14.2% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.07% (-0.418 -0.42)41.93% (0.412 0.41)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (0.482 0.48)26.22% (-0.488 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.68% (0.643 0.64)61.32% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 51.76%
    Chicago Fire 26.25%
    Draw 21.99%
New York City FCDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.27% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.61% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-2 @ 4.13% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 51.76%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.056 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 6.51% (0.107 0.11)
0-1 @ 4.99% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.055 0.06)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 26.25%

How you voted: NY City vs Chicago Fire

New York City FC
15.4%
Draw
7.7%
Chicago Fire
76.9%
13
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 12.30am
NY City
2-2
Chicago Fire
Martinez (15', 22')
Gray (50'), Freese (90+3'), Parks (90')
Cuypers (78'), Gutierrez (90+4' pen.)
Gimenez (65'), Navarro (90')
Jul 14, 2024 1.30am
Chicago Fire
0-0
NY City
Omsberg (25'), Acosta (45'), Koutsias (80'), Pineda (84')
Haak (21'), Sands (60')
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Mar 5, 2023 1.30am
Aug 21, 2022 11pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1382324121226
2Columbus Crew137512113826
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati148242019126
4New York City FCNY City147251815323
5Orlando City135622415921
6Nashville SCNashville136342215721
7Inter MiamiInter Miami126332118321
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136162018219
9Chicago Fire145452527-219
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135351915418
11New England RevolutionNew England125341210218
12Toronto133461617-113
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471725-813
14DC United133461325-1213
15CF MontrealMontreal13139722-156

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1374222111125
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle135532115620
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes135262620617
8Austin FCAustin13526815-717
9Dallas134451522-716
10Houston DynamoHouston133461319-613
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake134181319-613
12St Louis City13247917-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas122281622-68
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy120481029-194
15San Diego FC00000000


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