MX23RW : Friday, May 30 02:37:16| >> :60:1253:1253:
FC Dallas
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
Jun 1, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Dallas
vs.
Philadelphia

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Dallas and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 3-3 Dallas
Thursday, May 29 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, May 29 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

We say: Dallas 1-2 Philadelphia Union

These sides have been on contrasting paths over the last month, with the hosts winless in their last five league games and the visitors unbeaten in eight, six of which ended in victory. Philadelphia Union have also won their last three league games on the road and have the best away record in the MLS. We feel the visitors will come away from this match with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dallas win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Philadelphia Union has a probability of 36.79% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win is 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).

Result
DallasDrawPhiladelphia Union
39.1% (0.854 0.85) 24.11% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 36.79% (-0.802 -0.8)
Both teams to score 61% (0.146 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.54% (0.205 0.2)41.46% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.14% (0.208 0.21)63.86% (-0.206 -0.21)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (0.50999999999999 0.51)21.31% (-0.509 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (0.78 0.78)54.26% (-0.779 -0.78)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.318 -0.32)22.47% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.48 -0.48)56.02% (0.482 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 39.1%
    Philadelphia Union 36.79%
    Draw 24.11%
DallasDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.101 0.1)
1-0 @ 7.4% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.72% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.119 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.107 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 39.1%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.38% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.79%

Who will win Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Dallas and Philadelphia?

Dallas
Draw
Philadelphia Union
Dallas
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Philadelphia Union
100%
1
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-1
Dallas
Sullivan (25')
Mbaizo (21'), Bueno (24')
Velasco (36')
Velasco (28'), Twumasi (90+1')
Aug 18, 2022 2am
Feb 29, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 2
Dallas
2-0
Philadelphia
Ondrasek (61'), Pomykal (90')
Ondrasek (86')

Real (26'), Glesnes (59'), Creavalle (67'), Santos (84')
Apr 7, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 6
Philadelphia
2-1
Dallas
Burke (85'), Bedoya (92')
Fabian (9')
Ziegler (10')
Ziegler (85')
Apr 22, 2018 1am
Gameweek 9
Dallas
2-0
Philadelphia
Diaz (64' pen.), Urruti (74')
Hayes (17')

Medunjanin (92')
rhs 2.0
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