Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 45.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 26.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
