Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 35.24%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (12.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
