Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 40.52%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Caen had a probability of 28.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.96%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
