Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.