Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.
