Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.