Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
