Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 16.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
