Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.