Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Atlas win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.