Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
