Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.