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Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 27
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Grimsby Town

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 0
Grimsby Town


Curtis (62')
FT

Thompson (29'), Holohan (44'), Andrews (64'), Hume (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Forest Green
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Grimsby Town

 AFC Wimbledon are on cloud nine after a historic victory over their arch rivals on the weekend, and we believe that the Dons can carry the positive momentum into this midweek clash. Grimsby had to really scrap for a narrow win over fellow strugglers Forest Green last time out, and we think that the Mariners will not be as successful at Plough Lane on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.73%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawGrimsby Town
49.73% (-2.647 -2.65) 23.89% (0.682 0.68) 26.38% (1.963 1.96)
Both teams to score 56.72% (-0.305 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12% (-1.32 -1.32)44.88% (1.318 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.77% (-1.282 -1.28)67.23% (1.281 1.28)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.87% (-1.482 -1.48)18.13% (1.481 1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.91% (-2.59 -2.59)49.08% (2.589 2.59)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (0.867 0.87)30.72% (-0.867 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (1.013 1.01)66.98% (-1.015 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 49.73%
    Grimsby Town 26.38%
    Draw 23.88%
AFC WimbledonDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.332 -0.33)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.365 -0.36)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.429 -0.43)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.28 -0.28)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.29 -0.29)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 49.73%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.043 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.57% (0.31 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.363 0.36)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.512 0.51)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.387 0.39)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.201 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.185 0.19)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.38%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Grimsby Town

AFC Wimbledon
68.8%
Draw
18.8%
Grimsby Town
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Grimsby Town
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
Clifton (58'), Conteh (69'), Green (88'), Pyke (90+8')
Johnson (49'), Al-Hamadi (61'), Little (90+6')
> Preview
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Grimsby Town
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Ogundere (7' og.)
> Preview
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Grimsby Town
Chislett (60')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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