Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 53.05% | 25.24% | 21.71% |
| Both teams to score 47.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.39% | 54.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.05% | 75.95% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% | 20.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.87% | 53.13% |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.79% | 40.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.15% | 76.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% 2-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 5.45% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.04% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.54% 1-2 @ 5.43% 0-2 @ 3.44% 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.3% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.31% Total : 21.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 61 | 22 | 39 | 77 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 74 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 72 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 66 |
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 64 |
| 6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 63 |
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 57 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
| 9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 35 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 54 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 51 |
| 11 | Exeter CityExeter | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 46 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 35 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 45 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 45 |
| 14 | Port Vale | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 44 |
| 15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 43 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 42 |
| 17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 46 | -17 | 40 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 36 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 35 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 33 |
| 22 | MK Dons | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 33 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 30 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 23 |
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