Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.27%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Elche | 
| 53.32% | 27.66% | 19.02% | 
| Both teams to score 38.08% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 34.97% | 65.02% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 16.09% | 83.9% | 
| Mallorca Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.1% | 24.89% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.49% | 59.51% | 
| Elche Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 50.7% | 49.3% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.83% | 84.16% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Mallorca | Draw | Elche | 
| 1-0 @ 17.06% 2-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 8.39% 3-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 3.89% 4-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.38% 4-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.98% Total : 53.32% | 0-0 @ 12.27% 1-1 @ 12.07% 2-2 @ 2.97% Other @ 0.35% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 3.07% 1-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.02% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 45 | 8 | 37 | 59 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 47 | 18 | 29 | 52 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 45 | 
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 44 | 
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 40 | 
| 6 | Villarreal | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 37 | 
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 33 | 
| 9 | Athletic Bilbao | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 32 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 31 | 
| 11 | GironaGirona | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 30 | 
| 12 | Espanyol | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 27 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 27 | 
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 26 | 
| 15 | Sevilla | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 25 | 
| 16 | Almeria | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 25 | 
| 17 | Getafe | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 | 
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 33 | -17 | 24 | 
| 19 | Valencia | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 23 | 
| 20 | ElcheElche | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 48 | -30 | 12 | 
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