We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Valencia
There is no downplaying the importance of this match, with both sides in need of the three points, especially Atletico considering their recent issues. It would not be a surprise to see a draw on Saturday, but we just have a feeling that the reigning champions will do enough to secure all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 15.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
