Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
