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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.22%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Swansea City |
25.96% | 27.27% | 46.76% |
Both teams to score 46.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.45% | 58.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.88% | 79.12% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.56% | 38.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.81% | 75.19% |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.94% | 25.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.26% | 59.74% |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 9.21% 2-1 @ 6.09% 2-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.4% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.57% Total : 25.96% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 9.63% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 13.33% 0-2 @ 9.22% 1-2 @ 8.82% 0-3 @ 4.26% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.47% 1-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 55 | 21 | 34 | 65 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
3 | Southampton | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 55 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 51 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 45 |
6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Sunderland | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 40 |
8 | Hull City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 39 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 38 |
11 | Preston North EndPreston | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 38 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 37 |
13 | Watford | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 36 |
14 | Bristol City | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 36 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 33 |
16 | Millwall | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 32 |
18 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 32 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 30 |
20 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 29 |
21 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 26 |
22 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 22 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 18 |
> Championship Full Table |