Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 40.27%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.15%) and 1-2 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.38%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.