Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.