Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Togo had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.68%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Togo win it was 1-0 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.