World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2024 at 3am UK
PNG Football Stadium
Fiji1 - 1New Caledonia
Krishna (45+4' pen.)
Dunn (40'), Cavuilagi (87')
Dunn (40'), Cavuilagi (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Georges Hnane Katrawa (59')
Haewegene (54'), Jacob Waia (74')
Haewegene (54'), Jacob Waia (74')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Fiji and New Caledonia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: P. New Guinea 3-3 Fiji
Thursday, November 14 at 6am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Thursday, November 14 at 6am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: Solomon Islands 2-3 New Caledonia
Thursday, November 14 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Thursday, November 14 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Caledonia win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Fiji had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Caledonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Fiji win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiji | Draw | New Caledonia |
26.03% ( 0.38) | 24.83% ( 0.74) | 49.13% ( -1.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( -2.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
