Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
