Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plaza Colonia in this match.
