Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 26.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.02%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for an Ascoli win it was 1-0 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
