Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
