Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Frosinone in this match.
