Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.
