Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 2-1 (7.53%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
