Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 39.3%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 30.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.48%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
