Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest Lugo win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.
