Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
