Ponferradina
2 - 0
Lugo
Adot (10'), de Souza (78')
Curro (28'), Aizpuru (62')
Curro (28'), Aizpuru (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Lugo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | Lugo |
| 50.74% | 27.37% | 21.89% |
| Both teams to score 42.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
