Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 39.48%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.42%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
