Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.43%) and 2-1 (7.21%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (12.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leganes in this match.
