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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 4pm UK
King Abdullah Sport City Stadium
Al-Nassr
Al Raed
1 - 3
Al-Nassr
Fouzair (89' pen.)
Al Doseri (8')
Whaeshi (45+2'), Jovicevic (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mane (45+1'), Talisca (49'), Ronaldo (78')
Alkhaibari (44'), Al Hassan (59'), Telles (84'), Al Amri (87')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Raed and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fayha 0-0 Al Raed
Friday, September 1 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Hazem 1-5 Al-Nassr
Saturday, September 2 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Raed 0-3 Al-Nassr

After stumbling into the new season, Al-Nassr have hit their stride in recent weeks and are currently firing on all cylinders. Castro's side take on a floundering Al Raed side who have struggled for results this season and we fancy them to pick up another huge victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 76.99%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 8.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.91%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for an Al Raed win it was 2-1 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al RaedDrawAl-Nassr
8.71% (0.054 0.05) 14.29% (-0.039 -0.04) 76.99% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.05% (0.428 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.17% (0.40100000000001 0.4)32.83% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.47% (0.462 0.46)54.52% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)
Al Raed Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.88% (0.411 0.41)45.12% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.97% (0.325 0.33)81.03% (-0.325 -0.33)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.03% (0.085000000000008 0.09)6.96% (-0.085 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.48% (0.22800000000001 0.23)25.52% (-0.228 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Al Raed 8.71%
    Al-Nassr 76.99%
    Draw 14.29%
Al RaedDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 2.65% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 2.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 0.94% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 8.71%
1-1 @ 6.66% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.53% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.14% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 14.29%
0-2 @ 11.15% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-3 @ 9.91% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.37% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-3 @ 7.88% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 6.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 5.25% (0.045 0.04)
0-5 @ 3.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.14% (0.048 0.05)
1-5 @ 2.8% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 2.09% (0.042 0.04)
0-6 @ 1.56% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.24% (0.022 0.02)
2-5 @ 1.11% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 76.99%

How you voted: Al Raed vs Al-Nassr

Al Raed
5.9%
Draw
5.9%
Al-Nassr
88.2%
17
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal97202671923
2Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun97111971222
3Al-Nassr961226121419
4Al Ittihad96121861219
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli96121713419
6Al Fateh95222215717
7Al Ettifaq95221611517
8Al WahdaAl Wahda94141717013
9Al Fayha925297211
10Damac92431515010
11Al Khaleej9234914-59
12Al ShababAl Shabab92341117-69
13Al Riyadh9225821-138
14Al Okhdood9216512-77
15Abha9216716-97
16Al Tai9216717-107
17Al RaedAl Raed9126615-95
18Al Hazem9036723-163

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