Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.