Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.