Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minai win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minai win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.