St Louis City
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 15, 2025 at 1.45am UK
CityPark
Sporting Kansas

St Louis City
2 - 2
Kansas

Pompeu (15', 15'), Teuchert (44', 44')
Zalinsky (84'), Zalinsky (84')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Leibold (70', 70'), Joveljic (77', 77')
Voloder (31'), Voloder (31'), Salloi (45+2'), Salloi (45+2'), Bassong (49'), Bassong (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's MLS Playoffs clash between St Louis City and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions
Last Game: St Louis City 1-2 San Diego
Sunday, May 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Portland 1-0 Kansas
Sunday, May 11 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
St Louis CityDrawSporting Kansas City
43.42% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)24.5% (0.011000000000003 0.01)32.08% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.67% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)44.33% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)66.7% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)20.53% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)53.03% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51%26.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 43.42%
    Sporting Kansas City 32.08%
    Draw 24.49%
St Louis CityDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.61% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 11.43%
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.49%
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.8% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 32.08%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2025 1.30am
Kansas
2-0
St Louis City
Joveljic (71', 88')
Bartlett (39')

Wallem (28'), Ostrak (78')
> Preview
Sep 29, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City
3-1
Kansas
Teuchert (33'), Alm (54'), Lowen (75')
Klauss (39'), Horn (86')
Afrifa (63')
Pulskamp (45'), Rosero (45'), Voloder (45+5'), Teuchert (80')
> Preview
Jul 21, 2024 1.30am
Kansas
1-1
St Louis City
Agade (73')
Leibold (84'), Shelton (89')
Thorisson (42')
Thorisson (34'), Watts (45+1'), Kijima (90+4')
> Preview
Apr 21, 2024 1.30am
Kansas
3-3
St Louis City
Pulido (17'), Burki (65'), Thommy (77')
Salloi (45+7'), Radoja (47'), Davis (71')
Klauss (31'), Pompeu (45+3'), Totland (90+2')
Parker (63'), Pompeu (85')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2023
11pm
St Louis City  
vs.
  Kansas