Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Sporting Kansas City has a probability of 36.85% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.37%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win is 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.26%).
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 39.91% ( | 23.24% ( | 36.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.88% ( | 37.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.68% ( | 59.32% ( |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( | 19.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.33% ( | 50.67% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( | 20.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.02% ( | 52.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 4-0 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.46% Total : 39.91% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 3-3 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.23% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 25 |
| 3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | DC United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
| 13 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 21 |
| 4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
| 8 | Dallas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
| 9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 16 |
| 10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 | St Louis City | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 3 |
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
