Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Larne in this match.
