Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.