Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
