Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 16.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.24%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
